{"id":13944,"date":"2025-04-03T09:00:45","date_gmt":"2025-04-03T00:00:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/rts-pv-wp.grgr.link\/en\/?post_type=blogs&#038;p=13944"},"modified":"2025-03-28T15:48:09","modified_gmt":"2025-03-28T06:48:09","slug":"results-of-the-5th-capacity-market-main-auction-for-fy2024-announced","status":"publish","type":"blogs","link":"https:\/\/rts-pv-wp.grgr.link\/en\/blogs\/13944\/","title":{"rendered":"Results of the 5th Capacity Market Main Auction for FY2024 Announced"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"background: #f6f6f6;padding: 16px 24px;margin-bottom: 1em\">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"large-8 small-12\">\n<h6 style=\"margin-bottom: 10px\">Japan Solar Update: No.142 (Mar 31 ~ Apr 4, 2025)\u00a0<\/h6>\n<\/div>\n<h6 class=\"large-4 small-12\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/rts-pv-wp.grgr.link\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/03\/Tender-Price-Change-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"Tender Price Changes\" width=\"212\" height=\"129\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-12546\" \/><\/h6>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>The 5th Capacity Market Main Auction in FY2024 saw a 240MW bidding capacity for storage batteries, highlighting progress in initiatives for grid-scale storage batteries alongside renewable energy. Area prices (prices by region) have been rising since FY2021, especially in Tohoku and Tokyo, leading to higher overall average prices. Maintenance and management costs for power sources are expected to rise, while electricity demand from data centers and semiconductor factories continues to grow.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Area prices reached their highest levels since the 2nd auction across all areas with particularly significant increases. The rise in area prices and the reduction in deduction rates under transitional measures have led to an increase in the overall average unit price. Looking ahead to future auctions, the cost of maintaining and managing power sources is expected to become more expensive. Consideration will also be given to the status of overseas capacity auctions and the anticipated increase in domestic electricity demand.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div>\n<div style=\"background: #87ceeb;padding: 8px;width: 40%;height: 65px;border-radius: 10px;border: solid  #87ceeb;border-width: thin;float: left\">\n<p style=\"text-align: left\"><strong><span style=\"color: #000000\">Results of Capacity Market Main Auction<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"background: #ffffff;padding: 8px;width: 60%;height: 65px;border-radius: 10px;text vertical-aligh middle;float: left\">\n<p style=\"text-align: left\"><strong><span style=\"color: #000000\">The fifth (FY 2024) auction targeted for the actual supply and demand of FY 2028<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The contract price varies slightly depending on the region (area price). In the capacity market, contract prices are basically determined on a national basis, but there will inevitably be areas with a power shortage and areas with an excess. After that, fine adjustments are made continuously between areas with shortages and areas with surpluses, so that area prices are higher in areas with shortages and lower in areas with surpluses.\u3000The capacity market main auction is fundamentally treated as a single market nationwide (excluding Okinawa). However, market separation took place during the clearing process, resulting in significant differences in the contract price across areas.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>In this auction, the benchmark price (NetCONE) was set at 9,875 JPY\/kW. Consequently, the area price exceeded the benchmark price in all areas except for the Hokuriku, Kansai, Chugoku, and Shikoku areas. The price in the Hokkaido, Tohoku, and Tokyo areas was 14,812 JPY\/kW, hitting the upper price limit of this auction (1.5 times the benchmark price of 9,875 JPY\/kW). Additionally, in the Kyushu area, market separation once again resulted in an area price determined as &#8220;1.5 times the area price of the adjacent area.&#8221; Any bids exceeding this threshold were set as the clearing price under the multi-price method.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<table style=\"border: 1px solid black;border-bottom: none;width: 1000px;height: 40px\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid black;border-bottom: none;background-color: #f0e68c;width: 66.6666%;text-align: center\" colspan=\"2\"><strong>Total contracted capacity<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid black;border-bottom: none;width: 33.3333%;text-align: center\">106.210,000 kW<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<table style=\"border: 1px solid black;border-bottom: none;border-collapse: collapse;width: 1000px;height: 160px\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid black;border-bottom: none;background-color: #f0e68c;width: 33.3333%;text-align: center\" rowspan=\"4\"><b>Area Prices<\/b><\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid black;border-bottom: none;background-color: #f0e68c;width: 33.3333%\">Hokkaido\/Tohoku\/Tokyo<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid black;border-bottom: none;width: 33.3333%;text-align: right\">14,812 JPY\/kW<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid black;border-bottom: none;background-color: #f0e68c;width: 33.3333%\">Chubu<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid black;border-bottom: none;width: 33.3333%;text-align: right\">10,280 JPY\/kW<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid black;border-bottom: none;background-color: #f0e68c;width: 33.3333%\">Hokuriku\/Kansai\/Chugoku (Shikoku)<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid black;border-bottom: none;width: 33.3333%;text-align: right\">8,785 JPY\/kW<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid black;border-bottom: none;background-color: #f0e68c;width: 33.3333%\">Kyushu<\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid black;border-bottom: none;width: 33.3333%;text-align: right\">13,177 JPY\/kW<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<table style=\"border: 1px solid black;border-top: none;border-collapse: collapse;width: 1000px;height: 40px\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border-top: 1px solid black;border-right: 1px solid black;border-left: 1px solid black;border-bottom: none;background-color: #f0e68c;width: 66.6666%;text-align: center\" colspan=\"2\"><strong>Total contracted amount based on transitional measures<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"border: 1px solid black;border-bottom: none;width: 33.3333%;text-align: center\">1.8506 trillion yen<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong>Area Prices and average unit price in the Capacity Market Main Auction<\/strong><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #ff0000\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/rts-pv-wp.grgr.link\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/03\/Tender-Price-Change-300x215.jpg\" alt=\"Tender Price Change\" width=\"861\" height=\"617\" class=\" wp-image-13998 aligncenter\" style=\"letter-spacing: 0.05em\" srcset=\"https:\/\/rts-pv-wp.grgr.link\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/03\/Tender-Price-Change-300x215.jpg 300w, https:\/\/rts-pv-wp.grgr.link\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/03\/Tender-Price-Change-1024x734.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/rts-pv-wp.grgr.link\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/03\/Tender-Price-Change-768x550.jpg 768w, https:\/\/rts-pv-wp.grgr.link\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/03\/Tender-Price-Change-1536x1101.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/rts-pv-wp.grgr.link\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/03\/Tender-Price-Change-2048x1468.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 861px) 100vw, 861px\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 10pt\">Figure 1 Evolution of contract prices at the Capacity Market Main Auction <\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10pt\">Source: Materials from the 99th meeting of the Working group for reviewing the scheme under the Electricity and Gas Basic Policy Subcommittee (February 5, 2025), compiled by RTS Corporation<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>Perspectives of considerations for future auctions<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ul style=\"list-style-type: circle\">\n<li>In the fifth auction, <span style=\"color: #ff0000\">the contract price was the highest since the 2nd auction<\/span> across all areas, <span style=\"color: #ff0000\">suggesting that the cost of maintaining and managing<\/span> power sources participating in the capacity market auction<span style=\"color: #ff0000\"> has been increasing<\/span><\/li>\n<li>How should the results, where supply reliability was insufficient in Hokkaido, Tohoku, Tokyo, and Kyushu areas, be interpreted?<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">In the capacity auctions of the UK and the US PJM, recent contract prices have surged.<\/span> How should the status of Japan\u2019s capacity market be assessed in light of these international trends?<\/li>\n<li>Similar to the 4th auction, the 5th auction <span style=\"color: #ff0000\">also showed a high winning rate,<\/span> and there is a <span style=\"color: #ff0000\">forecast of increasing power demand<\/span> from data centers, semiconductor factories, etc. How should the issue of securing supply capacity be considered?\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":13998,"template":"","blogs_category":[49],"class_list":["post-13944","blogs","type-blogs","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","blogs_category-pv-market-size-installation-volume"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Results of the 5th Capacity Market Main Auction for FY2024 Announced | RTS Corporation<\/title>\n<meta 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